Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FTM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 0.467446 0.549594 0.639939 0.746396 0.868122 1.002666 1.162331
2024-10-13 0.336690 0.443812 0.573454 0.740702 0.949412 1.199836 1.521457
2024-10-20 0.251960 0.367552 0.519649 0.731646 1.016233 1.381385 1.881015
2024-10-27 0.195565 0.312466 0.478116 0.725055 1.077820 1.556582 2.246750
2024-11-03 0.161077 0.279131 0.457710 0.739885 1.164925 1.769601 2.679790
2024-11-10 0.133715 0.249950 0.436702 0.747824 1.239236 1.968052 3.107336
2024-11-17 0.111667 0.224281 0.415744 0.750710 1.303198 2.153951 3.529489
2024-11-24 0.095699 0.205550 0.402341 0.762354 1.379799 2.362975 4.000776
2024-12-01 0.081514 0.186959 0.385672 0.765071 1.440252 2.549653 4.449705
2024-12-08 0.066361 0.163057 0.355131 0.738296 1.446235 2.646775 4.760634
2024-12-15 0.059686 0.155353 0.353853 0.764321 1.546123 2.906009 5.353958
2024-12-22 0.053441 0.147222 0.350277 0.785010 1.637522 3.156660 5.949053
2024-12-29 0.050036 0.145268 0.359671 0.833409 1.787112 3.523673 6.775616
2025-01-05 0.042600 0.131812 0.342320 0.825265 1.828113 3.701010 7.285134
2025-01-12 0.036173 0.119335 0.324971 0.814546 1.862425 3.868091 7.787353
2025-01-19 0.030959 0.108774 0.310150 0.806993 1.901608 4.046051 8.319797
2025-01-26 0.027741 0.103113 0.306190 0.823156 1.991102 4.325693 9.057817
2025-02-02 0.024581 0.096786 0.299445 0.831821 2.065115 4.579960 9.763276
2025-02-09 0.021609 0.090225 0.290918 0.834968 2.127056 4.814115 10.443926
2025-02-16 0.019378 0.085520 0.286579 0.847744 2.211348 5.098632 11.238991
2025-02-23 0.017095 0.079946 0.278805 0.850723 2.273354 5.341211 11.964944
2025-03-02 0.014180 0.071047 0.259641 0.821322 2.256803 5.418118 12.362684
2025-03-09 0.013187 0.069382 0.262022 0.849897 2.380726 5.801169 13.404601